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PRESIDENT
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr: Announcement Scheduled for Friday
It appears that Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., after pushing back against Democratic Party efforts to disqualify him from several state ballots, has scheduled a national announcement for Friday. Reports from both NBC and ABC News suggest that Kennedy will formally exit the race and endorse Donald Trump.
It remains to be seen if this story is true and, if so, just what effect it will have upon the other presidential candidate. At first glance, it appears the move will marginally help Trump, but over the remaining weeks of the campaign, such may prove not to be the case.
HOUSE
MD-6: Close Poll Released
In a surprising survey result, Public Opinion Strategies released a research study of Maryland's 6th Congressional District for the Neil Parrott for Congress campaign and the National Republican Congressional Committee.
The survey live-interviewed 400 MD-6 likely general election voters between Aug. 6-11.
The results find Democratic nominee April Delaney leading Parrott, a two-time congressional nominee and ex-state Delegate, by a mere 42-40% margin.
The district rates as R+1 according to the FiveThirtyEight data organization, while Dave's Redistricting App publishes a 48.9D–48.0R partisan lean. Parrott has not performed well in his two general election campaigns against Rep. David Trone (D-Potomac).
Delaney still must be considered the favorite here and will enjoy a substantial resource advantage, but this poll suggests the Republicans have life.
NJ-9: Rep. Bill Pascrell (D) Passes Away
Eighty-seven-year-old veteran US Representative Bill Pascrell (D-NJ) has died, just a few days after being readmitted to the hospital. His family issued the announcement yesterday.
Pascrell is the fourth House member to pass away in this Congress, the second since the July 4 holiday, and the second from New Jersey. His death follows those of Reps. Donald McEachin (D-VA), Donald Payne, Jr. (D-NJ) and Sheila Jackson Lee (D-TX).
There are now four vacancies in the House – three from the members who have passed away, Reps. Jackson Lee, Payne and Pascrell; and one from resigned Representative Mike Gallagher (R-WI). The Pascrell vacancy reduces the House count to 220R-211D-4V (3D; 1R).
With Pascrell's passing, the open seat count headed into the election now grows to 55. Of these, 29 are in Democrat-held districts, with 25 from the Republican side and one newly-created seat within the new Alabama redistricting configuration. Another seven seats have been filled in special elections, and all but the CO-4 campaign feature new incumbents running for their first full term.
LOCALITIES
Los Angeles DA: Gascon Trounced in Latest Poll
George Gascon (D), the Los Angeles County District Attorney who describes himself as the "godfather of progressive prosecutors" – and who became the symbol of DAs who refuse to prosecute lesser crimes – may find himself out of office after the Nov. 5 election concludes.
A recently-released University of California, Berkeley survey projects Gascon trailing Independent candidate Nathan Hochman, 20-45%.
In terms of approval rating, a total of only 21% say they have a favorable or somewhat favorable opinion of Gascon, as opposed to 45% who harbor an unfavorable or somewhat unfavorable opinion of him.
Jim Ellis is a 35-year veteran of politics at the state and national levels. He has served ss executive director for two national political action committees, as well as a consultant to the three national Republican Party organizations in DC, the National Federation of Independent Business, and various national conservative groups.
Born and raised in Sacramento, California, he earned a B. A. in Political Science from the University of California at Davis in 1979. Jim raised his daughter, Jacqueline, alone after his wife died following a tragic car accident. He helped establish the Joan Ellis Victims Assistance Network in Rochester, NH. Jim also is a member of the Northern Virginia Football Officials Association, which officiates high school games throughout the region.
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