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PRIMARY RESULTS
Overview: Four States and One CD
Voters in Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin nominated candidates yesterday; while in Texas, the Harris County Democratic Party chose a general election nominee to replace the late Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee (D-Houston). Little in the way of competition was found in Connecticut and Vermont, meaning all of the incumbents easily advanced into the general election.
Minnesota
Senator Amy Klobuchar (D) won a massive victory in her Democratic primary, capturing more than 90% of the vote. Klobuchar is expected to trounce the new Republican nominee, former NBA professional basketball player Royce White, who defeated banker Joe Fraser and six other contenders to claim his party's nomination.
After 2nd District Republican Taylor Rahm dropped his congressional bid to join Trump's campaign staff, it became evident that attorney Joe Teirab would be the Republican to challenge Rep. Angie Craig (D-Prior Lake) in what could become a competitive general election.
Though the safely-Democratic 3rd District was open because Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Plymouth) chose not to seek re-election, state Sen. Kelly Morrison (D-Deephaven) surprisingly found herself unopposed in the party primary. Morrison will be a strong favorite to defeat Republican former judge and legislator Tad Jude in the general election.
Though facing credible opposition, polling was projecting that three-term Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minneapolis) would score a big victory. Her 56% vote was certainly enough to clinch a win that was comfortable, but not as wide as the pre-election polling had projected. Omar will easily win the general election to secure a fourth two-year term.
In the expansive western state 7th District, Rep. Michelle Fishbach (R-Regal), who lost the official party endorsement at the Republican state convention earlier in the year, rebounded to score a primary win – just short of a 2:1 drubbing over businessman Steve Boyd. Representative Fishbach will easily win her third term in November.
Wisconsin
With Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) running unopposed in the Democratic primary, Republican businessman Eric Hovde pounded his two minor GOP opponents to post an 87% victory percentage. Senator Baldwin is the clear favorite to win the general election, but Hovde will be able to keep pace in advertising with his strong, self-funded media campaign.
In the competitive 3rd Congressional District, business owner Rebecca Cooke, who had strong outside support, recorded large percentages in the rural areas to overcome state Rep. Katrina Shankland's (D-Steven's Point) overwhelming strength in Portage County to score a 49-42% Democratic primary victory. Cooke will now face freshman Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R-Prairie du Chien) in what should be a hotly-contested general election.
In the Green Bay-anchored 8th CD, businessman Tony Wied, with an endorsement from former President Donald Trump, slipped past former state Senate President Roger Roth and state Sen. Andre Jacque (R-Green Bay) to clinch the open Republican nomination. Wied is the heavy favorite to win the general election in November. Assuming he prevails, Wied will succeed resigned Rep. Mike Gallagher (R) in the seat that the FiveThirtyEight data organization rates as R+20.
TX-18
Battling several prominent candidates before the 88 Harris County Democratic Party convention delegates, former two-term Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner was chosen as the party standard-bearer in the general election to replace the late US Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee (D-Houston).
Turner and former City Councilwoman, ex-US Senate candidate, and previous congressional contender Amanda Edwards tied on the first ballot, necessitating a runoff vote because the deadlock prevented either from securing majority support. Turner then won the runoff vote. He proceeds into the general election as a prohibitive favorite opposite Republican nominee Lana Centonze.
Jim Ellis is a 35-year veteran of politics at the state and national levels. He has served ss executive director for two national political action committees, as well as a consultant to the three national Republican Party organizations in DC, the National Federation of Independent Business, and various national conservative groups.
Born and raised in Sacramento, California, he earned a B. A. in Political Science from the University of California at Davis in 1979. Jim raised his daughter, Jacqueline, alone after his wife died following a tragic car accident. He helped establish the Joan Ellis Victims Assistance Network in Rochester, NH. Jim also is a member of the Northern Virginia Football Officials Association, which officiates high school games throughout the region.
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